Mon Mar 02, 2020 10:09 pm
Kaiser system in California has an interesting report on CoVid19 compared to influenza
I think we have yet to see how this plays out ?
Multiple experts told us that the number of coronavirus cases not just in China but worldwide has probably been undercounted because many people with the infection do not suffer serious symptoms and may not seek medical treatment. It is possible that only those who have tested positive are being counted as “confirmed cases.”
Until the case definition is expanded to include people clinicians think may have COVID-19 but who were not tested for it, they said, the total estimated number of cases will remain lower than the likely reality. But, if the number of cases widens to include those with mild symptoms who have not been tested, then the mortality rate will go down.
I haven’t seen any reports from Mike Osterholm at the U. He usually has some very good insight on these epidemiological issues.