Re: COVID-19 Stats
Posted: Tue Apr 07, 2020 12:38 pm
Read the article I have a link to in the original post, specifically read their sampling methods:
The mortality rate is .0016 for people under 40.
Beyond the sampling methods which explains why that number is at least fairly accurate....the biggest reason why I think it's accurate is the mortality rate for the flu is .0010
0.16% for COVID-19
0.10% for the flu
For people under 40 years of age.
That seems right to me. The actual percentage still seems high to me. But if 10 people under the age of 40 out of a 100,000 flu cases dies it makes sense to me that it'd be 16 out of 100,000 for COVID-19.
It's significantly worse....but it's not even twice as bad as the flu, it's the flu and a half....or a really bad strain of the flu.
The ratio comparison between the two shows both why this virus is serious and not "just the flu," but it's also not the black plague either.
The mortality rate is .0016 for people under 40.
Beyond the sampling methods which explains why that number is at least fairly accurate....the biggest reason why I think it's accurate is the mortality rate for the flu is .0010
0.16% for COVID-19
0.10% for the flu
For people under 40 years of age.
That seems right to me. The actual percentage still seems high to me. But if 10 people under the age of 40 out of a 100,000 flu cases dies it makes sense to me that it'd be 16 out of 100,000 for COVID-19.
It's significantly worse....but it's not even twice as bad as the flu, it's the flu and a half....or a really bad strain of the flu.
The ratio comparison between the two shows both why this virus is serious and not "just the flu," but it's also not the black plague either.