2022 Weather, drought , & flood related

[Fish Felon]

Oh BTW East Union in 1 small isolated spot got 5" yesterday. 5 miles away like Jordan and Chaska got less than 1"
I got .78" - the most rain at 1 time in over 2 months. I'm still at least 4" short for May/June

Why is being 4" below a bad thing yet being 4" above a good thing? Seriously? Why is above average precipitation valued so much?

From a scientific standpoint, a deviation from the mean represents the same value whether it's a positive or negative move.

I.E. it can't be all doom and gloom when down 4" but all duckies and bunnies when it's up 4" since that represents the same difference away from the mean, and when it comes to the weather......that's all they care about.

If the temp is above or below average? OMG! Rainfall? Same thing....OMG!

4" below average ain't shit....it's in the normal range at a 99% confidence rating of what will happen. Quit looking at it as......an example would be the weather being five degrees below the average high for that date.

That's Normal Weather. It's in the normal weather range for that date. Five degrees below the average is still the "average" weather that can be expected for that date.

[h2ofwlr]

Who said 4" above in 2 months is good?
I haven't. If farmers can't plant like 3 and 4 yrs ago in SW MN, obviously it's very bad for them. But it is nice for gardens and lawns and such though.

Like for temps I consider "normal" anything within the 80% range. Like now it's 83 degrees. Anything 10 degrees either side of that is "normal".

I'm not sure what the 80% range for precipitation in the Metro is, but I'm fairly confident the last 6 week's is out of the 80% range.

So I'll stand by my prediction that the metro will be in a D1 drought by 1st week of Aug.
Much better than the D3 of 49 weeks ago.

[Nershi]

Water has been very high since the melt this year and it just keeps on raining. Rivers are all very high. It has undone all the progress we made last year getting lakes and ponds levels back to normal. No concern with drought up here. I have already mowed more than I did all last year.

Summer has been cool and a lot of the bigger water is still only in mid 60’s water temp which has thrown some bites and fish patterns off. Mayflies were a good week to two weeks late.

[Drunk_Dynasty]

Rain has been very spotty. Some mornings U of M campus records .4” and just across the over the airport won’t record any. V annoying.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

[maplelakeduckslayer]

Ya we got a good downpour last night. I need more rain in Isanti though that sand soil is a b to make a yard look nice

[h2ofwlr]

I got squat for rain. But 8 to 14 Miles NE of me got 3/4" to 1.25" Rogers to 394/169 was main path of 2 heavier T storms.

Anyway, S metro is now officially in a D1 drought. 2 weeks sooner than I predicted, but 2 weeks from now the D1 will double in size, same for the yellow abnormally dry area.

[Nershi]

Drought predictions are back!

[Fish Felon]

What drought?

[Fish Felon]

Where's the map showing too much precipitation? Or the opposite of drought?

[h2ofwlr]

Here is the story for the West metro for 2.5 months now. Regardless if coming for S, SW, W or NW it gets to within 30 miles and dries up. :/