HnkrCrash wrote:There is no scenario in which life goes back to normal on May 15, 2020. The US will have easily surpassed 25K fatalities and 500K confirmed cases at that time with no slowdown nor end in sight.
Is 25k a lot? .000075 of our population.
My guess is we are probably over 500k cases already. Half or more of the people who have it show no symptoms, none, not even a slight cough. We are primarily only testing sick people so confirmed numbers are low and deaths per infected are high. If we ramp up testing nationwide I have no doubt we’ll blow through 500k confirmed cases quick.
There should be a slow down eventually right? Isn’t that the flattening the curve concept? Are you saying the bottom of the other side of the curve is months away with no slowdown or end in sight?
I’ve been avoiding the news and watching a few sites tracking the stats. This is a good one. Might have got it from someone on here but can’t recall.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/The number of deaths per million got me thinking last night. Currently Italy is at 135 per 1 million people. They have 60 million people populated in a country smaller than some of our states meaning population density is high which will certainly heighten the curve which we’re seeing now in New York. America is much more spread out, has a better healthcare system and also had more time to prepare for this so I feel our numbers will be much better. Let’s say this really takes off and gets bad and we hit 150 per mill that’s about 50k dead .00015 of US people. I personally don’t think it’ll get that bad but who knows. CDC stats say 23k-59k died from the flu last year. Kinda puts things in perspective when you analyze numbers instead of listening to the sky is falling news. Obviously this is a lot different than the flu, just analyzing the death numbers.
This is killing old and sick people. These people die from all kinds of stuff, the flu, falling and cracking a rib, normal respiratory illnesses, etc. dying sucks but it’s a part of life that a lot of c-19 fatality victims were approaching either way. If this thing was killing kids and healthy people this would be a whole different conversation.
We need to be careful and take some measures to slow this. We also need to use all resources to get our healthcare prepared and lanyard pointed out some great ideas. I’m not so sure we need to take such drastic measures that we are that are crushing our economy for years to come which will certainly take a toll on our fatality and mental health rates in this country. At least that’s my take looking at the stats so far. Hopefully they don’t take a nasty slide.